Flashy-Bid
0xc4086b708cd3a50880b7069add1a1a80000f4675
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$109.9K
Total PnL
$11.7K
Realised
$12.9K
Win rate
92%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
37173 shares @ 91.2¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.5K
$602.54
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
27333 shares @ 89.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.5K
$-111.66
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
22752 shares @ 92.8¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.6K
$545.01
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
12216 shares @ 92.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.5K
$196.13
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
8811 shares @ 92.7¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.2K
$76.87
- NO
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
5908 shares @ 95.1¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.7K
$74.26
- NO
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
1316 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$10.07
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
4000 shares @ 57.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$980.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
574 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$569.67
$8.61
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2296 shares @ 7.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$264.07
$90.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.14May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.82May 18, 07:05 UTC
- MERGEWill JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$423.00May 18, 06:56 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$30.0KMay 18, 06:56 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$30.0KMay 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.25May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.86May 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.86May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$5.55May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$734.30May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$8.9KMay 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$199.60May 18, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$442.48May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$10.07May 18, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$442.48May 18, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$30.00May 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$6.00May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$34.00May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$10.00May 18, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$30.00May 18, 02:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $314.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".