Some-Robot
0xc42f49919bfb2f735a7d4580200e6ad7d2cb78a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-2.6K
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
1200 shares @ 11.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$928.67
- NO
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
338 shares @ 84.2¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$277.43
$-7.57
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
169 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.82
$4.73
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
500 shares @ 29.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$127.50
$-17.50
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?
1200 shares @ 11.1¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.60
$-24.73
- YES
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
11000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$82.50
$-110.12
- NO
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?
70 shares @ 76.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.25
$15.05
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?
60 shares @ 69.5¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.52
$14.83
- YES
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
91 shares @ 67.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$47.51
$-13.71
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.07May 17, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$10.03May 16, 08:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.34May 15, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill something else than the listed options occur in respect to Fed Chair confirmation and rates?$758.97May 14, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?$33.51May 14, 04:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$1.20May 13, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?$0.43May 13, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?$0.02May 13, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?$0.38May 13, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?$0.19May 13, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?$0.29May 13, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?$0.86May 13, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?$0.13May 13, 18:47 UTC
- CONVERSIONPredicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair$100.00May 13, 18:47 UTC
- CONVERSIONPredicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair$100.00May 13, 18:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $69.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".