Grumpy-Receiver
0xc443d3a18f113af8c77408318e9fbd979939bbdb
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$13.0K
Total PnL
$-37.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
24377 shares @ 64.3¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.6K
$-3.1K
- NO
Maduro guilty of all counts?
373 shares @ 61.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$326.16
$96.04
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
266 shares @ 88.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$118.40
$-116.28
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
16705 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-8.0K
- YES
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
15499 shares @ 93.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.5K
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
3333 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-189.98
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
3226 shares @ 74.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- YES
Will Daddy Fiskantes win the Synthetix trading competition?
3000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
2000 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
2000 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-980.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$346.28Apr 29, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$800.00Apr 29, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.0KApr 29, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$1.5KApr 29, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$1.7KApr 29, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.5KApr 29, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$3.3KApr 29, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$5.8KApr 29, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$189.99Mar 9, 15:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 9, 00:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 8, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 6, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 5, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 4, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 2, 01:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 1, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 28, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $203.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 01:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".