Ill-Fated-Shorts
0xc446337b70d57c139ed301bd62d2be540c140bb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$11.0K
Total PnL
$-502.60
Realised
$-35.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
2743 shares @ 93.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$7.15
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
1838 shares @ 74.4¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.3K
$-34.48
- NO
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
866 shares @ 89.3¢·now 92.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$804.63
$31.16
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
800 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$785.20
$15.60
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
718 shares @ 94.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$708.31
$28.58
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
744 shares @ 84.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$672.96
$44.05
- NO
EU dissolves before 2027?
515 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$496.72
$2.53
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
500 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$467.75
$2.75
- NO
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
426 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$413.43
$3.87
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
440 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$411.40
$-2.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $405.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 15:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".