0xc4a3d5f8280438442dc9c8847bfa5cd2124081fa
0xc4a3d5f8280438442dc9c8847bfa5cd2124081fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$67.46
Total PnL
$-53.08
Realised
$-2.07
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
91 shares @ 12.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.04
$4.10
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.36
$0.41
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
2077 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$9.35
$-1.65
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
1563 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$8.60
$-25.40
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
1505 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$7.52
$-7.47
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
2002 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$7.01
$-11.62
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
1746 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$6.11
$-7.85
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.46
$-1.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?$11.61May 16, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$6.51May 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$10.30May 13, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.65May 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.74May 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.05May 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.82May 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$5.19May 12, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$2.83May 12, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$2.73May 12, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$5.35May 6, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$5.35May 6, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?$0.05Apr 30, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.19Apr 30, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.08Apr 30, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.08Apr 30, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?$0.06Apr 30, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.06Apr 30, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.20Apr 30, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$0.19Apr 29, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 02:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".