Unaware-Birdhouse
0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$3.8M
Total PnL
$45.9K
Realised
$-6.3K
Win rate
52%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3415514 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.6M
$875.7K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3419711 shares @ 50.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$832.7K
$-877.2K
- YES
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
369890 shares @ 2.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$369.9K
$362.4K
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
19679 shares @ 69.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.0K
$3.4K
- NO
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
7070 shares @ 94.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.9K
$159.49
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6332 shares @ 90.9¢·now 94.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.0K
$237.79
- NO
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5000 shares @ 96.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.7K
$-112.50
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6039 shares @ 93.5¢·now 75.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.5K
$-1.1K
- NO
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6264 shares @ 52.8¢·now 61.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.9K
$542.35
- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
7510 shares @ 45.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.8K
$413.27
Recent activity
- YIELD$378.70May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$378.68May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$378.67May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$378.67May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$378.67May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$378.67May 13, 00:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.23May 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$287.78May 12, 00:13 UTC
- SPLITWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.3MMay 11, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$212.02May 11, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$219.42May 11, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$46.76May 11, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$228.48May 11, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$41.44May 11, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$140.00May 11, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$123.90May 11, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$38.22May 11, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Marino win Eurovision 2026?$0.49May 11, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Marino win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 11, 03:17 UTC
- YIELD$233.26May 11, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $28.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 05:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".