Defiant-Minorleague
0xc4e3d5eebe570a7e45e6d98b55bf9afb18a65907
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-777.99
Realised
$-237.36
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
634 shares @ 80.7¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$613.39
$101.76
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
314 shares @ 63.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$270.04
$72.22
- YES
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
479 shares @ 21.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$244.29
$143.70
- NO
Will Trump say "Macron" or "France" during events with Rutte?
207 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$207.00
$142.83
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
86 shares @ 48.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.66
$-11.62
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
22 shares @ 60.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.44
$-1.76
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?
3 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.00
$0.30
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
1432 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-300.72
- YES
Will Trump post "Ballroom" on Truth Social this week?
1074 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-354.42
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?
322 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-141.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$250.20Apr 27, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$169.65Apr 27, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$12.60Apr 27, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$345.60Apr 24, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$244.20Apr 24, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?$359.70Apr 12, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?$7.92Apr 12, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?$32.34Apr 11, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$202.10Apr 11, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?$263.73Apr 10, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?$64.90Apr 10, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$199.29Apr 10, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$61.95Apr 9, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$130.20Apr 9, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$32.80Apr 9, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$143.20Apr 9, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$144.00Apr 9, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$16.00Apr 9, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?$34.86Apr 8, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Macron" or "France" during events with Rutte?$64.17Apr 8, 01:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $184.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".