0xc4ef9195428cdf0130544a738e861107b4e1520b
0xc4ef9195428cdf0130544a738e861107b4e1520b
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$17.14
Total PnL
$-70.91
Realised
$-38.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$11.12
$10.12
- YES
Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
161 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$3.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
38 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.02
$0.10
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
56 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.97
$0.08
- YES
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
12 shares @ 8.3¢·now 6.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?
77 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-38.46
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
19 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
14 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?$3.25Apr 2, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?$3.35Apr 2, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Hawks (-4.5)$0.00Apr 2, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Hawks (-4.5)$2.61Apr 1, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hawks (-4.5)$2.70Apr 1, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLHawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5$2.45Apr 1, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5$2.55Apr 1, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: 76ers (-15.5)$2.31Apr 1, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: 76ers (-15.5)$2.40Apr 1, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1?$1.94Apr 1, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1?$1.99Apr 1, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winner$1.00Mar 31, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 Winner$2.15Mar 31, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$4.20Mar 31, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$3.70Mar 31, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$0.45Mar 31, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$0.64Mar 31, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.00Mar 30, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.00Mar 30, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$0.63Mar 30, 07:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".