Probable-Assertion
0xc52c1facd881f01286c60fcdd5b72e5b57f16732
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$105.03
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?
21781 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 18, 2026$54.45
$-80.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?
5324 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$50.58
$-7.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?
48465 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-303.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?
39623 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-234.92
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?
38533 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-234.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?
28925 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-250.03
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?
21455 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-46.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?
19913 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-238.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?
18999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?
16927 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-255.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$0.01May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$0.01May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$0.00May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$0.01May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$8.52May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$10.70May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$10.70May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$10.69May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$21.38May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$13.15May 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$7.32May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$32.12May 18, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$0.07May 18, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$0.25May 18, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$0.10May 18, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$0.09May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$0.12May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$0.09May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$0.09May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$0.09May 18, 01:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $12.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".