Instructive-Friction

• YES

  Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

  1150 shares @ 66.5¢·now 56.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026

  $643.83

  $-120.87

• NO

  Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

  485 shares @ 77.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $419.19

  $46.04

• YES

  Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?

  284 shares @ 19.3¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028

  $107.75

  $52.95

• YES

  Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

  25 shares @ 36.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026

  $9.88

  $0.88

• NO

  Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

  11 shares @ 62.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $8.86

  $2.04

• YES

  Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

  1507 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $3.77

  $-849.92

• YES

  Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?

  8 shares @ 80.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027

  $3.16

  $-3.24

• NO

  Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

  5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $2.05

  $0.20

• YES

  Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

  5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $0.53

  $-1.57

• TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$13.53May 13, 20:48 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.85May 13, 09:12 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.85May 13, 09:12 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.85May 13, 09:12 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.85May 13, 09:12 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.85May 13, 09:12 UTC
• TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$84.68May 10, 20:43 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.59May 8, 08:10 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.59May 8, 07:46 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.59May 8, 07:46 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.59May 8, 07:46 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.59May 8, 07:46 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.59May 8, 07:45 UTC
• REDEEMWill the Rolex Index hit $12,650 (HIGH) by April 30?$8.00May 8, 07:45 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.24May 7, 08:20 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.24May 7, 08:20 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.24May 7, 08:20 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.24May 7, 08:20 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1.24May 7, 08:20 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$5.09May 6, 08:56 UTC

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