Repulsive-Shackle
0xc550e5ee1011afb6d37c7fbb18fea32e03f9272d
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$90.1K
Total PnL
$-11.3K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
9779 shares @ 89.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.8K
$1.0K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
8246 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.1K
$185.57
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
6965 shares @ 93.5¢·now 94.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.6K
$36.43
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
5500 shares @ 83.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.0K
$367.53
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
5121 shares @ 73.7¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.9K
$1.2K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5000 shares @ 90.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.8K
$260.01
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
4601 shares @ 92.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.6K
$309.91
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
5096 shares @ 78.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.4K
$413.00
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
4976 shares @ 87.6¢·now 83.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.1K
$-228.78
- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
3878 shares @ 88.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.8K
$383.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.25May 18, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.42May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 17, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.04May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$49.68May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$79.22May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$82.90May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$42.52May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$18.10May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$84.57May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$14.00May 16, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$44.50May 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$1.50May 16, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$3.4KMay 16, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$0.44May 16, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$0.16May 16, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$474.50May 16, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$105.00May 16, 10:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.48May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 16, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $486.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 08:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".