Excitable-Thing
0xc55a73dc42a5263fe6afdce3b0b9c8eb59e17281
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$84.83
Total PnL
$5.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
9 shares @ 63.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$9.50
$3.50
- NO
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$7.41
$5.41
- NO
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$5.88
$4.88
- NO
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 64.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.68
$1.68
- NO
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4 shares @ 94.7¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
3 shares @ 87.7¢·now 76.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.60
$-0.40
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.58
$-0.42
- NO
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2 shares @ 80.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$2.49
$0.49
- NO
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$0.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?$0.00Apr 17, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?$0.00Apr 17, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?$6.67Apr 17, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?$0.00Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?$0.00Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026?$0.00Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$0.00Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?$0.00Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$1.05Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?$1.12Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?$1.16Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?$2.35Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?$2.50Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?$2.82Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on April 3, 2026?$3.20Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?$3.36Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 3, 2026?$3.57Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?$3.63Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?$5.96Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $89.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".