Formal-Jackal
0xc5aedfb4343c0120da31f0518f327611b6914cf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$304.08
Total PnL
$-49.48
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
95%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
299 shares @ 29.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.07
$19.37
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
800 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.60
$-12.10
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
300 shares @ 11.7¢·now 8.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
10999 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.00
$0.50
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
500 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.25
$2.75
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
912 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.39
$0.98
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
4000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.00
$-5.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.03May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.01May 17, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.05May 17, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.18May 17, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.13May 17, 04:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.00May 16, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.00May 16, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.29May 16, 05:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.03May 14, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.03May 14, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.28May 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.11May 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.91May 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.20May 14, 03:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.15May 13, 18:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".