Windy-Thunderbolt
0xc5d6489808ccd12ea6d4330f36177a3bbc02cf7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$78.63
Total PnL
$-835.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.72
$2.72
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.64
$3.64
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$5.65
$0.65
- YES
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
6 shares @ 63.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$5.24
$1.24
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.22
$0.22
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.17
$2.17
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$4.87
$0.87
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
8 shares @ 51.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.35
$0.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$4.78May 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Finland vs. USA$3.03May 18, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FK Spartak Moskva (-1.5)$5.13May 18, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPFK CSKA Moskva vs. FK Lokomotiv Moskva: O/U 3.5$3.03May 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FK Spartak Moskva (-1.5)$4.03May 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?$4.61May 17, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?$3.03May 17, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$5.26May 17, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$3.04May 16, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5$5.77May 16, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5$3.04May 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl$3.04May 15, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev$5.41May 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev$4.03May 14, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)$3.04May 14, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSinner vs. Rublev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$2.02May 14, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5$7.04May 14, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13?$11.43May 14, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5$5.04May 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13?$8.07May 13, 17:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".