International-Civilisation
0xc601bea662a62f49fa5a0803271ac27e568836aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$57.62
Total PnL
$1.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
27 shares @ 75.8¢·now 74.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.08
$-0.32
- NO
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$9.04
$0.14
- YES
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
50 shares @ 11.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$8.50
$3.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 36.7¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.25
$-0.09
- YES
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
10 shares @ 81.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$6.45
$-1.65
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
60 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.30
$0.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$0.99May 5, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$8.94May 5, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$4.67May 5, 11:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".