Warm-Pillow
0xc60adadbc98048067853a9a698b890daa005f701
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$64.67
Total PnL
$-412.17
Realised
$0.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
109 shares @ 55.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.55
$-17.45
- YES
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3170 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.27
$-35.10
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
175 shares @ 22.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.86
$-32.14
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
6781 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-239.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
78 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.63
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
68 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
29 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.31Mar 25, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$18.63Mar 17, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$150.00Mar 15, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.00Mar 14, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.00Mar 14, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$4.78Mar 14, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$25.00Mar 14, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$10.00Mar 14, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$18.17Mar 14, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$12.00Mar 13, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$30.00Mar 12, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00Mar 12, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00Mar 12, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$34.62Mar 12, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$20.00Mar 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$10.00Mar 12, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$50.00Mar 12, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$60.00Mar 12, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 12, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$40.00Mar 12, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $31.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 22:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 18:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".