Glamorous-Stitcher
0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$689.8K
Total PnL
$-241.8K
Realised
$67.2K
Win rate
61%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
248990 shares @ 85.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$237.8K
$25.4K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
176478 shares @ 68.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$145.6K
$25.5K
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
74141 shares @ 90.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.8K
$1.8K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
269725 shares @ 37.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$68.8K
$-30.9K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
173347 shares @ 51.9¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.4K
$-40.6K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
49973 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.3K
$2.3K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
27158 shares @ 82.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.0K
$-1.4K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
243336 shares @ 15.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.3K
$-19.9K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
168581 shares @ 24.2¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.3K
$-33.5K
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
10671 shares @ 16.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$6.8K
$5.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$402.99May 15, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.5KMay 15, 17:10 UTC
- REWARD$3.20May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$25.1KMay 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$17.0KMay 14, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$12.0KMay 14, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.3KMay 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.6KMay 13, 15:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.19May 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$16.7KMay 12, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.6KMay 11, 17:16 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$36.0KMay 11, 13:26 UTC
- REWARD$5.59May 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.1KMay 10, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$18.4KMay 10, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.0KMay 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.3KMay 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.2KMay 10, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.7KMay 10, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$505.48May 10, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 18:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".