Adolescent-Hotel

• YES

  Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?

  329 shares @ 61.1¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026

  $185.92

  $-15.08

• YES

  Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

  60 shares @ 85.2¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026

  $38.62

  $-12.38

• NO

  Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

  15 shares @ 65.3¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $11.40

  $1.40

• NO

  EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?

  8 shares @ 83.8¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $6.68

  $-0.32

• NO

  Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

  5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $4.48

  $0.48

• NO

  Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

  4 shares @ 82.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $3.22

  $0.22

• NO

  Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?

  4 shares @ 85.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026

  $3.00

  $-0.00

• NO

  Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

  3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $2.98

  $-0.02

• NO

  Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

  4 shares @ 85.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $2.96

  $-0.04

• NO

  Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

  2 shares @ 84.9¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $2.24

  $0.24

• REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 11, 22:58 UTC
• REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.00May 11, 22:58 UTC
• REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.00May 11, 22:58 UTC
• TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1.00May 11, 22:57 UTC
• TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1.00May 11, 21:17 UTC
• TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$3.00May 11, 12:33 UTC
• TRADEBUYEU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?$1.00May 11, 12:28 UTC
• TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$3.00May 11, 09:45 UTC
• TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.00May 10, 22:04 UTC
• TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$4.77May 10, 22:03 UTC
• TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.00May 10, 22:03 UTC
• TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?$2.00May 10, 22:02 UTC
• TRADEBUYEU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?$2.00May 10, 15:09 UTC
• TRADEBUYEU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?$2.00May 10, 15:09 UTC
• TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$3.00May 9, 21:48 UTC
• TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$1.00May 8, 21:25 UTC
• TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$1.00May 8, 21:24 UTC
• REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$0.00May 8, 21:23 UTC
• TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$1.00May 4, 05:22 UTC
• TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 4, 05:20 UTC

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.