Runny-Whack
0xc6d0ff59ef83e7d6210c47d20408eb27b7844bad
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$60.2K
Total PnL
$24.2K
Realised
$-0.75
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
67347 shares @ 40.8¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.2K
$19.7K
- NO
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
11735 shares @ 40.7¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$8.4K
$3.6K
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
6987 shares @ 40.4¢·now 59.7¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$4.2K
$1.3K
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
1443 shares @ 56.9¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$367.96
$-452.96
Recent activity
- MERGEWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?$50.00May 12, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$137.91May 4, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$73.48May 4, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?$27.00May 4, 14:30 UTC
- REWARD$26.93May 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?$149.53Apr 30, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$241.64Apr 29, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$436.29Apr 29, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?$867.68Apr 29, 19:39 UTC
- REWARD$26.93Apr 29, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$23.41Apr 28, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$4.3KApr 28, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$12.9KApr 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$22.69Apr 28, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.91Apr 28, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$48.60Apr 28, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.5KApr 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$645.96Apr 28, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$14.51Apr 28, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?$2.8KApr 28, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $2.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 16:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".