0xc6d76fd31b710883900a14c75eab96515dfb4399
0xc6d76fd31b710883900a14c75eab96515dfb4399
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$198.11
Total PnL
$-208.80
Realised
$-14.25
Win rate
54%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
25 shares @ 64.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.37
$-2.62
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
107 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.02
$-1.59
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
79 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.32
$-2.37
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
66 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.27
$-2.31
- YES
Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?
62 shares @ 14.1¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.90
$-2.75
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
83 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.57
$-1.25
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
99 shares @ 8.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.44
$-4.25
- NO
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
51 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.33
$-1.27
- YES
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
78 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.88
$-4.68
- NO
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
43 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$3.87
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?$0.34May 18, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.09May 17, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Henri Squire$1.13May 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.04May 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$1.14May 17, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$1.14May 17, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?$1.12May 17, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?$1.10May 17, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?$1.18May 17, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$1.12May 16, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?$1.08May 16, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$1.04May 16, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.04May 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.08May 16, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus vaccine in 2026? $1.15May 16, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?$1.04May 16, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$1.14May 16, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$1.14May 16, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?$1.04May 16, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.10May 16, 10:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 09:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".