Vibrant-Mug
0xc6d992cee0a59dc92976d70d60745a2554561eb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$68.55
Total PnL
$-264.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$56.25
$6.25
- YES
Anthropic CEO arrested?
1087 shares @ 4.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.41
$-38.59
- YES
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.89
$-9.11
- NO
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?
2635 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
220 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
190 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-48.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 24?
118 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.34
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$269.83May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$163.56May 9, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$206.10May 9, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$153.01May 8, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$102.90May 6, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$23.35May 6, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$187.05May 4, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$152.79May 3, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$101.96May 3, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$102.43May 3, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$113.17May 3, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$126.49Apr 30, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$125.83Apr 29, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$51.40Apr 29, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?$51.82Apr 29, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?$51.96Apr 29, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 24?$0.00Apr 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic CEO arrested?$51.91Apr 28, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$10.36Apr 28, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump posts himself as Jesus again in April?$10.38Apr 28, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $88.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 06:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".