Trusting-Bungalow
0xc6dd722558dbfbd8fa780efcbe819ed8c6604b9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$334.3K
Total PnL
$-16.1K
Realised
$-4.1K
Win rate
35%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
161412 shares @ 92.2¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$149.9K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
51725 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$51.3K
$619.88
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
39127 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$38.8K
$616.68
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
24051 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$21.8K
$601.26
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
32492 shares @ 60.1¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$20.6K
$1.1K
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
6797 shares @ 91.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.5K
$334.44
- YES
Chirayu Rana sued?
8396 shares @ 84.1¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.0K
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
23769 shares @ 65.1¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.1K
$-10.4K
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
4915 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.9K
$74.69
- YES
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
4648 shares @ 80.6¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$-259.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$87.57May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.96May 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$10.00May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$8.20May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$212.84May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$17.03May 18, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$31.50May 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$42.06May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$8.99May 18, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$842.83May 18, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$1.1KMay 18, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.55May 18, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$88.33May 18, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$2.67May 18, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$71.64May 18, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$252.00May 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$379.62May 18, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$379.62May 18, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$75.92May 18, 01:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$19.29May 18, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".