Ironclad-Will
0xc6fa9a0058f324cf4d33e7ddd4f0b957e5d551e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-12.0K
Realised
$2.62
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1306 shares @ 25.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$489.57
$163.19
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
594 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$264.44
$8.91
- SABRES
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens
420 shares @ 65.5¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$216.25
$-58.76
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
344 shares @ 57.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$201.39
$2.25
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
100 shares @ 5.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.95
$94.65
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1279 shares @ 18.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$95.95
$-144.61
- OVER
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5
119 shares @ 44.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$84.13
$31.99
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
108 shares @ 70.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$82.62
$6.99
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
202 shares @ 37.1¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$73.22
$-1.72
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
140 shares @ 44.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$72.80
$11.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)$2.41May 18, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMPumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5$31.40May 18, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMPumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5$16.00May 18, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-16?$0.25May 18, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-16?$0.70May 18, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-17?$45.00May 18, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.75May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$14.75May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)$39.00May 18, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$116.60May 18, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)$89.00May 18, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)$54.00May 18, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMCD Concepción vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 2.5$45.00May 18, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMCD Concepción vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 1.5$24.40May 18, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMCA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5$67.00May 18, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?$38.00May 18, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?$40.00May 18, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$117.00May 18, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$28.00May 18, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?$20.00May 18, 03:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $14.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".