Soggy-Placebo
0xc73e2d95fcdf289b6016c0bbbf4e30c495cd2a79
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$128.42
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
621 shares @ 97.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$586.57
$-16.72
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
400 shares @ 93.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$370.21
$-3.60
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
800 shares @ 98.0¢·now 35.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$284.80
$-499.60
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 89.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$108.50
$-514.50
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$95.50
$0.50
- YES
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
338 shares @ 12.5¢·now 5.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$19.43
$-22.81
- YES
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
338 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.17
$-42.08
- YES
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
338 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.17
$-42.08
- YES
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
338 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.17
$-42.08
- YES
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
337 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.17
$-41.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$0.00May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$25.85May 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$98.70May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$64.61May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$178.88May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$13.41May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$0.29May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$49.43May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$49.43May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$35.83May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$148.56May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$37.70May 18, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?$300.00May 18, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on May 15?$300.00May 18, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 15?$18.81May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?$0.01May 18, 00:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?$0.07May 17, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?$0.08May 17, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?$0.01May 17, 21:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $23.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".