0xc812c292b470405767a849572e560edf67d4cb56
0xc812c292b470405767a849572e560edf67d4cb56
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$86.14
Total PnL
$5.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
35 shares @ 14.1¢·now 75.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$26.14
$21.22
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
16 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.59
$-0.41
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
17 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.01
$0.08
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.79
$2.79
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
69 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.50
$-0.69
- NO
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.53
$-0.21
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.58
$-0.44
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.43
$-1.58
- NO
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
42 shares @ 9.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.32
$-1.70
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
41 shares @ 9.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.25
$-1.72
Recent activity
- REDEEMStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 1, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$0.00May 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 19?$0.00Apr 27, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-18?$0.00Apr 27, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 20?$0.00Apr 27, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMFC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Draw at halftime?$0.00Apr 27, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 20?$0.00Apr 27, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMSporting CP leading at halftime?$0.00Apr 27, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-18?$0.00Apr 27, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 20?$0.00Apr 27, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMSporting CP leading at halftime?$0.00Apr 27, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMFC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Draw at halftime?$0.00Apr 27, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 19?$0.00Apr 27, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 20?$0.00Apr 27, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-18?$0.00Apr 27, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 20?$0.00Apr 27, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMSporting CP leading at halftime?$0.00Apr 27, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMFC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Draw at halftime?$0.00Apr 27, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 19?$0.00Apr 27, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 20?$0.00Apr 27, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 07:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".