Foolish-Propane
0xc84f7e76ec28ef20e7773b7b4926bfb7378be0c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$535.3K
Total PnL
$-31.8K
Realised
$-13.5K
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
449189 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$365.4K
$140.8K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
449189 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$83.8K
$-140.8K
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
45043 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.0K
$358.54
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
326827 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.2K
$-1.8K
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
70817 shares @ 12.3¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.9K
$139.01
- NO
Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
8136 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.1K
$270.77
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
7666 shares @ 30.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.4K
$48.37
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
25000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$-62.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2852 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$869.93
$-14.54
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
3086 shares @ 10.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$416.55
$105.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.30May 18, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.80May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.75May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$4.0KMay 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.17May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$4.32May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.49May 18, 04:27 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$15.0KMay 18, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$655.60May 18, 01:12 UTC
- YIELD$47.23May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$12.15May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$5.81May 17, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$4.08May 17, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$0.41May 17, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.95May 17, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$0.41May 17, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$22.22May 17, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$34.52May 17, 23:23 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$110.0KMay 17, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$775.00May 17, 22:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $155.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 07:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".