Fancy-Language
0xc8625094f8b6f88a28fec3a1362caf49bbd53fb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$424.07
Total PnL
$5.61
Realised
$2.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
51 shares @ 79.2¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$39.16
$-0.84
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
31 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
24 shares @ 61.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$19.98
$4.98
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
26 shares @ 76.2¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
26 shares @ 65.1¢·now 72.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$18.78
$1.78
- YES
Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?
17 shares @ 83.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$13.80
$-0.15
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.84
$1.84
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
11 shares @ 61.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$11.43
$4.43
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
22 shares @ 55.4¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
16 shares @ 61.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.16
$1.16
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 14, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 14, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 14, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.04May 14, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.03May 14, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.05May 14, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.04May 14, 03:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.03May 12, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.03May 12, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$4.07May 12, 02:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?$12.18May 10, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.10May 10, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 16:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".