Firm-Contract
0xc8639f200463304648546b9216a0d66b4cee284b
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-189.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2955 shares @ 41.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.3K
$88.14
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3227 shares @ 11.0¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$585.75
$230.75
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2703 shares @ 3.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$363.51
$263.52
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1923 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$99.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2131 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$84.18
$-15.81
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2562 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$65.09
$-22.91
- YES
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
5640 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$64.86
$-35.13
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
12677 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$44.37
$-255.61
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2289 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$26.33
$-39.67
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
96 shares @ 7.3¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.46
$-2.54
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $123.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 21:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".