Gracious-Locust
0xc8b8880b91effc64f4ce9d5869b9767a55a6c770
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$287.61
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-349.51
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
5300 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$82.15
$5.28
- YES
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
590 shares @ 12.8¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.81
$-5.04
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
200 shares @ 17.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
400 shares @ 5.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.00
$-5.45
- YES
NATO article 5 before 2027?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.50
$3.50
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 7.3¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.40
$-17.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
50 shares @ 12.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.25
$3.25
- YES
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 6.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.50
$-24.36
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 4.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.80
$-12.28
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.70
$4.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.50May 18, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00May 18, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?$2.20May 18, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$11.02May 18, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.60May 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.00May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.60May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.40May 18, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.30May 18, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$6.00May 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$18.00May 17, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00May 17, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$17.00May 16, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$18.00May 16, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$24.00May 16, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$11.00May 16, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.00May 16, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$18.00May 15, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$50.00May 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$11.00May 14, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $8.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 17:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".