Imaginary-Screenwriting
0xc90240c20fa7f94672d77b8cad838c05b9e0cd14
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$60.4K
Total PnL
$1.0K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20568 shares @ 50.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.6K
$9.3K
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
13120 shares @ 75.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.4K
$2.5K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
9000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.6K
$1.7K
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
8887 shares @ 91.3¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.3K
$139.62
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
6861 shares @ 54.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$-787.22
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
3171 shares @ 39.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$935.42
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
7500 shares @ 58.8¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
33676 shares @ 32.1¢·now 4.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$-9.2K
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
1217 shares @ 89.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.2K
$124.23
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
5000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$325.00
$-375.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.33May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.33May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.32May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.32May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.05May 14, 00:14 UTC
- SPLITWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.5KMay 13, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$5.2KMay 13, 10:30 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.91May 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.72May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.2KMay 12, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$5.8KMay 12, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$20.00May 12, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.82May 12, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$94.11May 12, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$15.61May 12, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$103.64May 12, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.19May 12, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$6.5KMay 12, 18:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.92May 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.72May 12, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $470.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".