Simplistic-Maximum
0xc9059adf971395ecf4145712cc94ec4704e8c23d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$19.86
Total PnL
$-27.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 87.3¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.35
$0.35
- NO
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.96
$1.96
- YES
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.67
$0.17
- YES
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.07
$-0.43
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Trump Airport become law this year?
5 shares @ 15.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.98
$1.23
- NO
California voter ID referendum passes?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.58
$-0.42
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.67
$-0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.25May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.51May 13, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.05May 13, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.05May 13, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 13, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?$1.03May 13, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?$1.02May 13, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ghost" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$1.03May 13, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Socialism" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$1.03May 13, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Fiduciary" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$1.03May 13, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hormone" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$1.03May 13, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Collateral" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$1.03May 13, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Federal Reserve" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$1.03May 13, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 13, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?$0.00May 13, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 13, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?$0.00May 13, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.27May 13, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?$2.74May 13, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 9, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 11:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".