Earnest-Punctuation
0xc90e850c120fe93dfe04f55137f42bb9a59a9e4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$481.94
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-24.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
918 shares @ 51.2¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$481.94
$11.74
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
4933 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-141.10
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
3547 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-59.99
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
2239 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-845.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?
1750 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
1696 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-800.00
- YES
Will "Wicked" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
885 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?
703 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
501 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-33.50
- YES
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?
454 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2025$0.00
$-57.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$479.37May 7, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$5.00Mar 3, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$5.00Mar 3, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$10.00Mar 3, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$10.00Mar 3, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$6.10Mar 3, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$775.97Mar 3, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$100.00Mar 3, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$500.00Mar 3, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$100.00Mar 3, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$100.00Mar 3, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$320.00Mar 1, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on February 28?$488.60Mar 1, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$72.00Feb 27, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?$3.70Feb 27, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?$10.00Feb 27, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$13.50Feb 24, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.70Feb 22, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?$5.00Feb 22, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?$5.00Feb 21, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $75.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 18:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".