Pastel-Crate
0xc948fd3e03895c8bad12135844aa6a484a0a33a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$29.5K
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
18149 shares @ 93.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.1K
$174.63
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
5118 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.0K
$48.62
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
1591 shares @ 94.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.5K
$36.40
- NO
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
1602 shares @ 93.6¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$27.01
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
1115 shares @ 89.7¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$79.07
- NO
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
1136 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$73.86
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1124 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$73.03
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
1111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$48.89
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
5495 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
2703 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$5.0KMay 10, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$5.0KMay 10, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$1.5KMay 2, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$414.93May 2, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.0KMay 2, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$7.2KMay 2, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$409.00May 1, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.1KMay 1, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?$1.6KMay 1, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$10.4KMay 1, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?$1000.00Apr 20, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?$161.82Apr 20, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$588.24Apr 20, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$10.00Apr 15, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$210.80Apr 15, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$29.55Apr 14, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$10.0KApr 11, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$15.00Apr 11, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$300.00Apr 11, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?$100.00Apr 11, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 10:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 13:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".