Spanish-Ashtray
0xc987d6d67dd764674b7a25ccbfb4d54727106b8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$99.93
Total PnL
$-60.05
Realised
$2.96
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
94 shares @ 69.6¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$71.27
$5.57
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
91 shares @ 17.3¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.76
$-8.03
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.83
$-1.17
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.78
$-1.22
- YES
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
10 shares @ 32.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.65
$-0.55
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.49
$-0.01
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
23 shares @ 17.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.14
$-1.86
- YES
Iran Nuke before 2027?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.02
$-0.97
- YES
Will Trump resign before 2027?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.57
$-0.43
- YES
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.41
$-1.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.06May 14, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMThe Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani$6.17May 14, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani$5.03May 2, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?$22.59Apr 14, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?$4.32Apr 14, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?$5.00Apr 12, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?$43.88Apr 8, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$3.00Apr 7, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Apr 5, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$11.55Apr 5, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$10.61Apr 4, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$19.85Apr 4, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$10.44Apr 3, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?$13.20Apr 2, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?$9.42Apr 2, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$10.00Apr 2, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$1.04Mar 30, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$2.78Mar 30, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?$3.50Mar 30, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$15.00Mar 30, 15:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $12.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 22:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 00:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".