Hopeful-Waste
0xc9c7b2f764e48292589f4275c5d84fe596f9007d
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$103.67
Total PnL
$-7.21
Realised
$-0.37
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
50 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.25
$3.75
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.00
$-0.50
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.80
$2.60
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
48 shares @ 8.0¢·now 24.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$11.76
$7.90
- YES
SBF released from custody in 2026?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
670 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.02
$-3.06
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?
735 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.94
$-1.43
- FIJI
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Fiji vs Philippines
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.25
$-9.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Fiji vs Philippines$3.52May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Fiji vs Philippines$2.19May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Fiji vs Philippines$4.29May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Papua New Guinea$499.49May 18, 07:49 UTC
- MERGET20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Papua New Guinea$500.00May 18, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Papua New Guinea$9.68May 18, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Papua New Guinea$0.33May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Papua New Guinea$194.00May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Papua New Guinea$433.28May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Papua New Guinea$343.03May 18, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru$0.00May 18, 07:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.52May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLGeneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone$163.80May 17, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLGeneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone$67.83May 17, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone$62.34May 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone$30.60May 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone$2.25May 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone$5.50May 17, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone$6.00May 17, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $50.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".