Muffled-Brushfire
0xc9ce0a843891f1f512a9705be5c6d4a835d82308
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-42.73
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?
1068 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.1K
$2.14
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.02
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 2?
4240 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-16.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 7?
1090 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.63
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 13?
1082 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.33
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 3?
1072 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 23?
1066 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on March 23?
1062 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 15?
1056 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?$1.1KMay 18, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 17?$1.1KMay 17, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 17?$1.1KMay 17, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 16?$1.1KMay 16, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 16?$1.1KMay 16, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?$1.1KMay 16, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?$1.1KMay 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?$2.11May 10, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 3?$2.14May 3, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$6.03May 3, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 23?$4.26Apr 23, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 15?$2.11Apr 15, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on March 23?$2.12Mar 23, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 13?$4.33Mar 13, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 19?$1.1KFeb 20, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 19?$1.1KFeb 19, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 18?$1.1KFeb 19, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 18?$1.1KFeb 18, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 17?$1.1KFeb 18, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 17?$1.1KFeb 17, 06:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $595.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".