Triangular-Genre
0xca12d28728c46d3484395243f5f842f2c321ea03
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$16.0K
Total PnL
$86.31
Realised
$72.38
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
13000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.3K
$1.8K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
13000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.7K
$-1.8K
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by May 31?
1022 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$3.72
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 123.5 billion views by May 31?
1017 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$997.76
$17.18
- NO
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
518 shares @ 88.1¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$480.84
$24.17
- DOWN
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 18?
333 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$332.67
$0.53
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 124 billion views by May 31?
48 shares @ 93.8¢·now 90.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$43.18
$-1.47
- NO
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
35 shares @ 37.3¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.38
$12.32
- NO
Will "Obsession" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
25 shares @ 91.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$24.39
$1.74
- NO
Will "In the Grey" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
17 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$16.52
$0.46
Recent activity
- SPLITWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$7.0KMay 18, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?$7.0KMay 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?$49.57May 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?$447.73May 18, 07:06 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.0KMay 18, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?$3.1KMay 18, 07:05 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.0KMay 18, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?$3.0KMay 18, 07:04 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.0KMay 18, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?$396.32May 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 18?$332.17May 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$184.00May 18, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 123.5 billion views by May 31?$558.00May 18, 05:50 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.0KMay 18, 05:49 UTC
- SPLITWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$800.00May 18, 00:32 UTC
- YIELD$1.44May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$756.40May 17, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 494 million subscribers by June 30?$38.40May 17, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake have a #1 hit in the US in May?$82.97May 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?$0.18May 17, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $388.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".