Celebrated-Flesh
0xca2dc713251e1df9b1fdfca41308560f2ab23236
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$53.77
Total PnL
$-12.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Clavicular sentenced to prison?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.19
$2.19
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.93
$-1.07
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.51
$1.51
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 25.4¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Solana reach $100 in May?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.11
$-15.89
- YES
Will Arsenal score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
362 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.45
$-3.55
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.60
$-0.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMVinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer$0.00May 11, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMRobert Lewandowski: Anytime Goalscorer$0.00May 11, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$41.67May 11, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMFC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score$17.48May 11, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.15May 11, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$5.08May 11, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score$5.11May 10, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYVinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer$5.09May 10, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRobert Lewandowski: Anytime Goalscorer$5.11May 10, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in May?$20.62May 9, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$5.15May 9, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$25.30May 9, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular sentenced to prison?$10.44May 9, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.46May 9, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?$59.15Apr 30, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?$31.80Apr 21, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00Apr 21, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 21, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.27Apr 21, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$6.90Apr 21, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $22.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 16:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".