Needy-Show
0xca4b6418251931aae3ae5d5d454c6ebcfa219e65
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$648.93
Total PnL
$-91.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
135 shares @ 93.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$126.22
$0.42
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.00
$5.40
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
100 shares @ 62.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.50
$33.50
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
50 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.08
$0.82
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
50 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.40
$0.40
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
50 shares @ 96.4¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.45
$-0.75
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
30 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.55
$0.94
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
305 shares @ 26.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.88
$-57.57
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.88
$0.06
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.23
$0.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$30.00May 13, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$90.00May 10, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $10.75May 9, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$20.00May 9, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$50.00May 9, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$400.00May 9, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$7.80May 8, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$19.87May 8, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$69.53May 8, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$20.06May 6, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.94May 6, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$56.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.45May 6, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$20.40May 6, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$19.71May 6, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$48.00May 6, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$51.00May 6, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?$19.83May 5, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by May 31, 2026?$9.71May 5, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$9.41May 5, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $28.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".