Troubled-Antique
0xca8f9c760f7eed8ce94bfb3edffe2808edaa3443
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$783.61
Total PnL
$-23.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
788 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$783.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Ja Morant win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PIRATES
Cubs vs. Pirates
20 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-9.20
- TIGERS
Mets vs. Tigers
14 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.33
- HURRICANES
Panthers vs. Hurricanes
9 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$784.16May 18, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$777.02May 18, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$778.16May 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$784.16May 18, 06:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$785.02May 14, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$226.71May 14, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$255.67May 14, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$301.61May 14, 20:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$227.05May 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$302.07May 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$256.06May 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCubs vs. Pirates$9.20Sep 15, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMRoyals vs. Phillies$9.04Sep 15, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoyals vs. Phillies$5.15Sep 12, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMets vs. Tigers$6.33Sep 2, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Pacers$5.76Jun 23, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Pacers$1.90Jun 19, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. Hurricanes$4.00May 28, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $122.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 22:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".