Trivial-Inequality
0xcaa7d05f66715e4540158cbfdc94c40579380242
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$12.17
Total PnL
$-1.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Trump name "Newsom" or "Newscum" in April?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 58.3¢·now 48.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?$1.00Apr 14, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump name "Keir" or "Starmer" in April?$0.00Apr 14, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12)$0.00Apr 14, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kharg Island" this week? (April 12)$0.00Apr 14, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (April 12)$0.00Apr 14, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump name "Keir" or "Starmer" in April?$1.12Apr 14, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$0.00Apr 12, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump attend UFC 327?$0.00Apr 12, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?$1.05Apr 12, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$1.29Apr 12, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBenedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?$1.00Apr 10, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Holland as Spider-Man?$1.00Apr 10, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRyan Reynolds as Deadpool?$1.00Apr 10, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 10, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?$1.00Apr 10, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.00Apr 10, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Apr 10, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?$0.00Apr 10, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 06:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 03:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".