Lonely-Ketchup
0xcaa85b5d6e66c2689eb8a0da535de4a4ea4ecf5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
113
Open notional
$78.06
Total PnL
$-67.13
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- YES
Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?
495 shares @ 1.2¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.56
$12.57
- YES
Will SpaceX raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?
201 shares @ 4.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.70
$8.70
- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T?
35 shares @ 2.8¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.90
$3.90
- YES
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
485 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.18
$1.18
- YES
Anduril IPO before 2027?
15 shares @ 13.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- NO
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
560 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.40
$-1.60
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
551 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.38
$-1.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1.00May 6, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1.00May 6, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1.00May 6, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.00May 6, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04May 1, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04May 1, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $610b and $620b on May 31?$1.04May 1, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $610b on May 31?$1.04May 1, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of April 27 2026?$1.04May 1, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of April 27 2026?$2.08May 1, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $132 Week of April 27 2026?$2.08May 1, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of April 27 2026?$1.04May 1, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.04May 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.04May 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.04May 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$13.41May 1, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.07Apr 30, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?$1.04Apr 28, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.38Apr 25, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft reach $473 in April?$1.18Apr 25, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 18:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 12:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".