Frosty-Persimmon
0xcaa861d2aa589dd1fe4aa753b35eaf82532a75a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$-125.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
204 shares @ 89.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$188.70
$5.45
- YES
Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?
170 shares @ 83.7¢·now 92.2¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$156.74
$14.41
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
194 shares @ 66.1¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$136.93
$8.47
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
162 shares @ 83.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$127.27
$-7.55
- YES
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
128 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$116.48
$1.30
- YES
Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
120 shares @ 82.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$106.39
$6.85
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?
102 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$94.55
$-1.53
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?
103 shares @ 91.7¢·now 92.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$94.34
$0.30
- YES
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
102 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$94.04
$1.02
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$90.50
$0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?$93.35May 8, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?$6.13May 8, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?$18.90May 8, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?$17.05May 8, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?$3.16May 8, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?$3.62May 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?$24.85May 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?$4.32May 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?$14.05May 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat?$3.00May 8, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?$2.80May 8, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the AL-04 House seat?$3.81May 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?$96.31May 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?$5.71May 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?$94.35May 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?$17.67May 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?$80.84May 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?$3.80May 8, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$25.00Apr 29, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$53.00Apr 28, 04:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $27.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 18:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".