Personal-Alder-Gap
0xcae09d5608fd42b8d2b88c8a48f953401f66b095
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$7.96
Total PnL
$-6.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
4 shares @ 75.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-17?
7 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-17?$4.05May 15, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Auckland FC win on 2026-05-15?$3.33May 15, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Auckland FC win on 2026-05-15?$3.01May 15, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Liberty vs. Portland Fire$0.00May 15, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Liberty vs. Portland Fire$3.03May 15, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Portland Fire$3.00May 15, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWashington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds$3.00May 14, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds$3.00May 14, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys$3.02May 14, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys$3.01May 14, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff$3.26May 14, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$1.04May 14, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.08May 14, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.08May 14, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00May 14, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff$3.01May 14, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?$3.03May 14, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 14:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 18:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".