Sizzling-Hovercraft
0xcb11f64db3ab8d00f36381300028db7f31db0d5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$167.65
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1500 shares @ 72.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$152.52
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1000 shares @ 87.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$999.50
$125.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1000 shares @ 73.7¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$962.49
$225.83
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
1000 shares @ 55.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$585.00
$35.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
570 shares @ 79.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$493.05
$39.25
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1000 shares @ 29.2¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$315.00
$23.05
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
523 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$175.17
$-13.07
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
210 shares @ 57.5¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$166.82
$46.15
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2064 shares @ 28.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$154.82
$-436.10
- YES
UK Recession in 2026?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$140.00
$-110.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.41May 15, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$196.00May 14, 14:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.89May 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$113.72May 12, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$1.92May 12, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$56.31May 12, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.0KMay 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$1.15May 12, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$10.00May 12, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$6.84May 12, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$6.66May 12, 03:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$30.19May 11, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$2.95May 11, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $120.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".