Old-Incidence
0xcb21d8f2a1461f7e8b5ed5f2c86488d19b203f88
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$33.85
Total PnL
$-66.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?
23 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$21.45
$1.95
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 22?
12 shares @ 57.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.46
$2.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?
12 shares @ 80.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.94
$-6.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?
15 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?
11 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 12?
8 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?$19.70May 16, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 22?$7.21May 16, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$10.21May 15, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?$27.78May 15, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$8.62May 15, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?$9.73May 13, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?$20.39May 13, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?$10.20May 13, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?$13.32May 12, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?$27.06May 12, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?$10.71May 11, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 11?$5.33May 11, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?$5.13May 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?$23.24May 10, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 12?$7.07May 10, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?$7.14May 10, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?$11.12May 10, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 10?$12.31May 10, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?$9.90May 10, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 11?$4.07May 10, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".