Far-Plan
0xcb48f490d8579832e56954cb31dfee630d59be6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$240.40
Total PnL
$-87.73
Realised
$0.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
214 shares @ 57.9¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.48
$-42.71
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
122 shares @ 34.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.35
$17.77
- YES
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?
40 shares @ 76.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.60
$-5.80
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
23 shares @ 66.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$15.46
$0.41
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?
248 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$15.40
$-11.93
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
102 shares @ 16.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$11.68
$-4.57
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
94 shares @ 37.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.29
$-24.31
- YES
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
110 shares @ 14.9¢·now 9.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.23
$-6.21
- YES
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
120 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.07
$-0.54
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
374 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.99
$-2.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.20May 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$9.05May 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$8.70May 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.48May 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.17May 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.16May 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.23May 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.89May 13, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.11May 12, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$0.00May 12, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$60.00May 12, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.49May 9, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.12May 8, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$13.00May 8, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$13.00May 8, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?$9.00May 4, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.00May 4, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$1.47May 4, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$2.09May 4, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$14.99May 4, 05:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 23:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".