Bumpy-Underground
0xcb66382dce9448a1372de78e4fb0609fe638a175
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-430.33
Realised
$118.06
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
1290 shares @ 42.5¢·now 33.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$432.13
$-116.52
- NO
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
1330 shares @ 40.2¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$299.24
$-235.44
- NO
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
481 shares @ 64.3¢·now 58.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$281.24
$-27.85
- NO
Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
262 shares @ 86.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$258.44
$30.81
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
300 shares @ 81.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$220.50
$-22.50
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
400 shares @ 61.5¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$135.99
$-109.99
- NO
Will Darrell Jones win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
56 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 30, 2026$55.92
$1.96
- NO
Will Bruce Banman win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
51 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$50.55
$0.49
- NO
Will Harman Bhangu win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
50 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 30, 2026$49.92
$0.73
- YES
Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
1399 shares @ 5.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 30, 2026$25.88
$-48.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$65.97May 15, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$29.70May 15, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.08May 15, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$35.63May 15, 16:58 UTC
- REWARD$1.10May 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$49.66May 12, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.33May 12, 03:18 UTC
- REWARD$2.71May 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$9.49May 11, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$6.40May 11, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$7.47May 11, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$8.64May 11, 18:08 UTC
- REWARD$1.29May 11, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.67May 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$30.29May 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$83.00May 9, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$17.78May 9, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$33.07May 9, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$10.91May 9, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$8.73May 9, 03:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $20.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 16:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".