0xcb78259d88449ac1b86188818cdca7e185e1e180
0xcb78259d88449ac1b86188818cdca7e185e1e180
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$336.14
Realised
$71.89
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Canva IPO before 2027?
478 shares @ 68.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$456.39
$129.03
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
500 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$222.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
9000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$211.50
$161.52
- NO
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
139 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$92.53
$0.70
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.00
$-3.98
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.75
$-7.75
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
19 shares @ 75.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$7.01
$-7.39
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.75
$-3.25
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
119 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.02
$0.52
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
480 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.64
$0.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCanva IPO before 2027?$38.82May 18, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$8.34May 17, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$17.33May 17, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.94May 17, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.06May 17, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$77.65May 17, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$14.38May 16, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$114.97May 16, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.07May 16, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLCanva IPO before 2027?$18.24May 15, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$114.97May 15, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$108.55May 14, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$60.53May 13, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$58.90May 13, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.40May 13, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLCanva IPO before 2027?$1.12May 12, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$0.05May 12, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$14.63May 11, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$30.00May 11, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$347.20May 11, 06:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $65.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".