Deserted-Papaya
0xcb88529b180ff94e8cf8c85358d3776a687a6b99
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-87.30
Realised
$59.45
Win rate
44%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?
838 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$838.00
$117.32
- NO
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
130 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$130.00
$46.80
- NO
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
114 shares @ 44.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$113.03
$62.87
- NO
Will Trump say "Day Care" or "Daycare" this week? (January 11)
78 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$78.00
$17.94
- NO
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
99 shares @ 29.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$75.24
$46.53
- NO
Will FA win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
48 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$47.86
$11.96
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?
24 shares @ 71.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.64
$3.60
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
21 shares @ 55.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.46
$1.13
- NO
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
11 shares @ 73.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$11.00
$2.87
- NO
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.00
$0.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?$8.45Apr 21, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLVentuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$4.53Apr 21, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLVentuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$7.31Apr 21, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$20.77Feb 8, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?$254.20Feb 8, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?$7.00Feb 8, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$17.01Feb 8, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$7.98Feb 8, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$7.98Feb 8, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$7.98Feb 8, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$8.40Feb 8, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLInsurrection Act invoked by March 31?$229.33Jan 11, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $22M committed to the Space public sale?$720.68Jan 11, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?$29.64Jan 11, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?$6.60Jan 11, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?$363.55Jan 11, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?$76.50Jan 11, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?$34.00Jan 11, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?$391.50Jan 11, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$4.94Jan 11, 10:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $110.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 22:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 04:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".